Trump Calms China Fears, Bitcoin and Ethereum Rebound

[PAI]

The Trump-China drama may have been perfectly timed because Donald Trump struck a calm, almost rehearsed tone after Friday’s sudden market crash, before TradFi markets open on Monday.

Crypto is often caught holding the ball as President Trump’s market-moving announcements tend to come on Friday, almost sparing stocks from the carnage.

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Trump Calms China Fears, Fuels Bitcoin and Ethereum Recovery​

Global markets could be steady by Monday morning, and crypto, which absorbed the shock over the weekend, is already leading the rebound.

Bitcoin was approaching the $115,000 mark, while Ethereum reclaimed $4,100, following Trump’s comments on Truth Social, which eased China fears. Investors interpreted his remarks as deliberate de-escalation after a politically charged sell-off.

“Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine! Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment… The USA wants to help China, not hurt it,” Trump noted.

The timing raised familiar eyebrows. The plunge came late Friday, just as Wall Street shut for the weekend, leaving only 24/7 crypto markets to process the fallout.

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Indeed, markets are already on a rebound, with Bitcoin trading for $114,359 as of this writing, while Ethereum has already reclaimed the $4,100 mark. Notably, Ethereum is up by over 20% from its Friday low.

Crypto Markets on the Rebound. Source: CoinGecko

Sentiment is already flipping, and equities could open Monday largely unscathed. Many traders now suspect that Trump prefers weekend volatility, allowing crypto markets to bleed privately before the S&P 500 can react.

Everyone Friday night “that dump had nothing to do with Trump”

Everyone today “see! Trump fixed it. Time to pump”

— ₿rett (@brett_eth) October 12, 2025

The White House also pointed to Trump’s softer stance, with reports indicating that Vice President JD Vance revealed his boss’s willingness to be a reasonable negotiator with China.

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Similarly, White House officials reportedly suggested that markets would “calm down this week.” With crypto markets showing strength, traders may read this as a green light for risk assets.

100% Tariff on China in Effect by November 1?​

On whether Trump will impose a 100% tariff on China by November 1, Polymarket bettors see a measly 8% chance. This marks a significant drawdown from minutes before Trump’s announcement on Truth Social, where the odds stood at 26%.

Trump China 100% Tariffs by November 1. Source: Polymarket

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The change points to de-escalation, implying most participants see Trump’s rhetoric as bluff, not brinkmanship.

Still, for crypto investors, the pattern feels intentional. Crypto trades nonstop, making it the first asset class to price in sudden political shocks, and the easiest to shake out leveraged players before calmer Monday headlines appear.

“Liquidating everyone just to push prices to new ATHs would be pretty frustrating… and honestly, it seems likely,” Crypto Rover quipped.

In the same tone, Helius Labs CEO, Mert, said the crypto markets are an oracle for Trump’s social media mood.

Whether orchestrated or coincidental, the weekend whiplash reflects how deeply political theater now intersects with digital assets. Trump crashes the market on Friday, calms it by Sunday, and the S&P may never even flinch, only Bitcoin does.




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